Saturday, March 2, 2019

Buy Siyaram Silk Mills; target of Rs 410: ICICI Direct


ICICI Direct's research report on Siyaram Silk Mills


SSML reported decent revenue growth of 13.4% YoY to Rs 446.3 crore despite market conditions remaining subdued. The fabric division grew 13% YoY to Rs 332 crore while growth in the garmenting segment grew marginally by 1.4% YoY to Rs 87 crore. Revenues from the yarn segment grew 3.4x to Rs 16 crore mainly due to commencement of production of its dyed yarn (indigo) facility Gross margins for the quarter contracted significantly by 265 bps YoY to 55.9%, mainly on account of increased proportion of products having lower margin profile (Indigo dyed yarn and higher discounted garmenting brand, 'Mozo'). However, with positive operating leverage kicking in, EBITDA margins declined 98 bps YoY to 11.8% Substantial increase in interest cost (up 50% YoY to Rs 13.7 crore) further impacted PAT growth. Ensuing PAT declined 10.5% YoY to Rs 20.1 crore.


Outlook


We expect overall revenues to increase at 9% CAGR and PAT to grow at 11% CAGR in FY18-20E. SSML's stock price has witnessed a significant correction of ~48% in the last 12 months, making it available at valuation of 11.6x FY20E earnings. Hence, we have a BUY recommendation with a revised target price of Rs 410 (14x FY20E EPS).


For all recommendations report, click here


Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/broking houses/rating agencies on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Read More First Published on Feb 28, 2019 03:47 pm

Friday, March 1, 2019

Square (SQ) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

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Square (NYSE:SQ) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 27, 2019 5:00 p.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Square fourth-quarter 2018 earnings conference call. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Jason Lee, head of investor relations. Please go ahead.

Jason Lee -- Head of Investor Relations

Hi, everyone. Thanks for joining our fourth-quarter 2018 earnings call. We have Jack and Amrita with us today. First, we want to remind everyone of the format of our earnings call.

We have published a shareholder letter on our Investor Relations website which was available shortly after the market closed. We will begin this call with some short remarks before opening the call directly to your questions. During Q&A, we will take questions from our sellers in addition to questions from conference call participants. We'd also like to remind everyone that we will be making forward-looking statements on this call.

Actual results could differ materially from those contemplated by our forward-looking statements. Reported results should not be considered as an indication of future performance. Please take a look at our filings with the SEC for a discussion of the factors that could cause our results to differ. Also, note that the forward-looking statements on this call are based on information available to us as of today's date.

We disclaim any obligation to update any forward-looking statement except as required by law. Also, during this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are provided in the shareholder letter on our Investor Relations website. These non-GAAP measures are not intended to be a substitute for our GAAP results.

Finally, this call, in its entirety, is being audio webcast on our Investor Relations website. An audio replay of this call will be available on our website shortly. With that, I would like to turn it over to Jack.

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Hello, everyone. Thanks for joining us. I wanted to start off with a few brief comments and then turn it over to Amrita for some prepared remarks. First and foremost, I want to welcome Amrita to her first Square earnings call.

We're thrilled to have her as our CFO, and really excited about the years ahead. I'm going to start with what we believe our core differentiator is, which is an ecosystem. We are an ecosystem of financial tools for both individuals and sellers, and we continue to prove the power and the uniqueness of that as time goes on. One of the things I'm most proud of over the past 10 years, Square turned 10 back a few weeks ago, is that we've shown a lot of discipline in long-term investments, and these longer-term investments that we made some bets on have really paid off.

A really good example of this has been the Cash App. Today, we're announcing that we have over 15 million multi active customers in December of 2018, and that's more than double year over year. This is an amazing to start building -- this is amazing to start building a ecosystem focused on financial services for individuals, but it also speaks to the power of building ecosystems so that we can build seller products faster as well. All the tech that we've built for the Cash App powers other product ecosystems as well.

So Instant Deposit came from Cash App technology, as did the Square Card. The Square Card has been another highlight over the past three months. This is a way for us to continue to serve underserved and unbanked sellers so that they can start a business without even going to a bank. They would be able to download the Register from the App Store or Google Play, and we give them an account where they can store the money and also a MasterCard debit card which they can use anywhere to grow their business.

A really good seller example here. C.C. Nedrow of Payton's Photography. She used Square since its earliest days, she's also been using Square Card to buy supplies as soon as she needs them, and she also uses Square Invoices, Square Marketing and Square Capital, and this really speaks to the power of the ecosystem.

People can come for one thing and then see a whole host of other financial services to help them stay in business and also grow their business. The most important thing about Square Card though is it enables them to quickly invest in their business and gives them access to their funds immediately so they can go off and do the right things for the business, whether it be buying more marketing or buy a new salon chair to add more capacity to their offering. One of the things we've found with our beta sellers for Square Card is that 40% of them didn't have a business debit card before, and this is meaningful because we found that a lot of sellers were mixing their personal bank accounts with what their business was doing, which is very, very hard to manage, took time away from their work and ultimately took time away from making more sales. So we believe this is going to be really powerful for sellers, and it really speaks to longer-term investments that we've made, the bets we've made and how they're paying off right now.

For the year ahead, we continue to focus on three things, and we're going to continue to strengthen our omnichannel offering. That means that we add strength to in-person payments, to mobile payments and also to online, and we're really excited about everything we're doing in financial services. This captures everything from Cash App to Square Card to Payroll to Square Capital. And finally, we continue to focus on the international markets that we're in, making them stronger, more complete and making sure that we find product markets for the majority of our ecosystem.

We're excited to continue to roll out more of our ecosystem tools and services to all of our markets. And with that, I'll turn it over to Amrita.

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Jack. I wanted to start by saying that I'm thrilled to be a part of Square. I joined because I'm passionate about Square's purpose of economic empowerment. There's massive opportunity ahead for us, and Square's teams are moving with urgency, operational excellence and creative agility to serve our customers.

It's rare and meaningful to find such a strong alignment of doing good and doing well, and I'm excited to be a part of Square's journey. Our results for fourth-quarter and full-year 2018 highlight the momentum in our business. In the fourth quarter of 2018, we drove strong revenue growth at scale. Total net revenue was $933 million, up 51% year over year overall and up 47%, excluding acquisitions.

Adjusted revenue was $464 million, up 64% year over year overall and up 53%, excluding acquisitions. Net loss was $28 million in the fourth quarter, which includes the mark-to-market valuation of our strategic investment in Eventbrite. Excluding this impact, net loss was $12 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $81 million in the fourth quarter, up 97% year over year.

Our ecosystems for sellers and for individuals drove growth in the quarter. On the seller side, we maintained strong cohort economics with a three to four quarter payback period for new cohorts and positive adjusted revenue retention for existing cohorts. This underscores the continued efficacy of our go-to-market strategy as our business scales, both in acquiring new sellers efficiently and helping them grow once they join Square. Additionally, we drove momentum with larger sellers.

In the fourth quarter, larger sellers made up 51% of overall GPV, up from 47% in the fourth quarter of 2017. GPV from this group grew 39% year over year. One reason larger sellers come to Square is for our omnichannel solutions as 30% of our larger sellers serve their customers via more than one channel on Square. For individuals, we drove rapid growth at scale for Cash App.

As Jack mentioned, we had more than 15 million monthly active Cash App customers in December 2018, which more than doubled year over year. We've been delivering growth at scale and operating leverage in our business which enables us to reinvest and drive product velocity, which, in turn, can generate meaningful revenue in the long term. Products launched in the last five years represented 37% of total net revenue and 51% of adjusted revenue in the fourth quarter, up 15 points from a year ago. Now turning to guidance for full-year 2019, we expect total net revenue to be within a range of $4.35 billion to $4.41 billion and adjusted revenue to be in the range of $2.22 billion to $2.25 billion.

At the midpoint, this represents 41% year-over-year adjusted revenue growth, which is remarkable given our scale. For full-year 2019, we expect adjusted EBITDA of $405 million to $415 million, which represents growth of 60% at the midpoint. Given the massive opportunity ahead of us, we continue to reinvest in the business to drive long-term growth, guided by financial discipline. We're excited to expand our seller and consumer ecosystems to provide more people with more tools to participate in the economy.

I will now turn it back to the operator to start the Q&A portion of the call. 

Questions and Answers:

Operator

[Operator instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Darrin Peller from Wolfe Research. Your line is open.

Darrin Peller -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

Thanks, guys. Nice job on the quarter and look forward to working with you, Amrita. Let me just start off, guys. So the subscription and services growth continues to be, obviously, extremely strong, and Cash App seems to be just a very big part of that.

The numbers you gave were really helpful. If you could just give us more insight into the driving forces behind the growth in Cash App numbers and how sustainable it is. And then maybe a better breakdown on the revenue sizes of each aspect to that correlated to the Cash App? And then maybe if you can even give what percentage of Cash App users are monetized so far, just could at least to help us.

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Darrin, I look forward to working with you as well. So let me start by sharing a little bit about the strength of the business model for Cash App and then I'll share a little bit about the monetization as well. So we're very pleased with the progress that we've seen with Cash App. We are driving meaningful revenue contribution, along with network growth and network engagement.

And that is driven by the strength of the business model we see here. And just to underscore some of those points, we see a massive opportunity ahead of us to enable access to financial services. There are over 25% of U.S. households are unbanked or underbanked and clearly, as a top 20 app in 2018, Cash App is now achieving mainstream scale.

In terms of the dynamics underlying the business, we see really strong network effects which, when you combine that with frictionless onboarding which the team has been very focused on, drives efficient acquisition at scale. And then we're also seeing really strong engagement with Cash App which we measure by transactions per active, which is also increasing -- increase the compounding effect when coupled with the increasing reach of the overall app. We're continuing to drive daily utility for that engagement through new features like Card, Boosts and Direct Deposit, and this team is just executing very well at a high level right now. We're delivering new and refined products with quality and speed.

The speed with which we can deliver, given the mobile platform, is obviously greater than what you see with traditional financial services experience. And it's that rapid iteration which drives, not only product velocity, but scale and daily utility. So that's just a little bit about why we're excited about the underlying trends and momentum that we see with the business model for Cash App. From a monetization perspective, there are a number of revenue streams and a variety of levers that we have in the business and we've really just gotten started.

There's four to highlight today. Obviously, Instant Deposit, which is similar to the Instant Deposit product in our sellers' business, enables instant access to stored balances. There's Cash Card, which the last number that we had mentioned was $3 billion of annualized spending as of the second quarter and which continues to grow rapidly, where we make interchange. There's P2P when funded with credit cards, and then there's cryptocurrency where we make a spread.

And again, we're just at the beginning of this opportunity. There will be future products and services and opportunities to build engagement which we can eventually monetize for the future.

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

The only thing I would add there -- sorry, Darrin, the only thing I would add there is we're starting to see the network effects play out. So the P2P aspect, I think, the biggest driver of growth for us is the product itself has inherent network effects. And you can see this yourself on Fridays of weeks inside the United States where we do see a huge surge in downloads because of payday. And people are utilizing the money they have in Cash App to send friends, families, landlords, causing another download and another -- up into the network.

So that has kept us in the top 20 at the App Store for quite some time. We reached No. 1 not too long ago this year, but I think the biggest driver is really going to be how the network is spreading and just the inherent network effects that it has in the business. And as we add more utility and more financial services, such as the card or sort of balance or Instant Deposit, ATM, it just becomes a much, much more durable relationship.

Darrin Peller -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

Just quickly. I mean, do you guys ever disclose about what percentage of the 15 million users have actually been monetized in some way? I'm just trying to figure out how much runway. And it seems like it's very early, obviously.

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

No. Yes, we haven't disclosed that. But as Amrita said, over those four areas into the Deposit, Cash Card, P2P and cryptocurrency, we just have a ton of levers to pull on in terms of where the app takes enrollment.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Bryan Keane of Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.

Bryan Keane -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Hi, guys. Congrats on the quarter. I wanted to ask about Square Card for business. Can you just talk a little bit about how it differentiates itself from the competition and how you plan to drive more small business engagement there? And then secondly, just looking at the guidance.

I know seasonality plays a role, but it looks like the first quarter EBITDA margin guidance at the midpoint is somewhere around 10.3%. That'd be down from 11.7% a year ago. So just trying to figure out, is there extra investments going in that's driving margins down a little bit year over year?

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Thanks for the question, Bryan. Square Card is one of the things I'm most excited about this year just because we've identified a real pain point in a seller's life and in sign up for Square. One of the things we ask for traditionally is to link a bank account so that you can receive your funds after you swipe your customer's credit cards.

And now, you can literally download the Register and download our app and we offer a place to store your money, but more importantly, we give you an opportunity to get a card that you can customize. That's a MasterCard which you can use anywhere. And we think this is a pretty powerful in the same way that Instant Deposit was because it gives access to funds. And access to funds is so critical for any small business.

If they can quickly access their money and spend it to grow their business in whatever situation they find themselves in, we tend to see that their sales increase. So we think this is -- well, I don't know if anyone else offering anything like this, especially with the breadth of our ecosystem. So I think it's inherently unique and highly differentiated. I can't think of a simpler sign-up flow to get a card that's customized for your business, but also is a simple way to start so you can start a business without even having to go to a bank, which is pretty powerful, pretty profound and really cool.

And we don't think this is just for small businesses. We think this can scale, and we're really excited about adding more functionality on top of the card.

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Bryan. It's Amrita. I'll take the guidance question for Q1. I want to emphasize two things.

First and foremost that we focus on the full year in terms of how we manage the business and in terms of how you should be looking at it from a guidance perspective. And secondly, that there is some seasonality in Q1 which is why we really focus on the full year. So again, just to grant you the numbers for the full year, we expect to grow over 40% on the top line and 60% on the bottom line, delivering similar margin expansion to what we delivered in 2018, which, at 2.2 -- over $2.2 billion of revenue is pretty remarkable growth at our scale. From a Q1 perspective, we're showing 55% adjusted revenue growth year over year, but it is important to note that there's some seasonal trends in that business that particularly affect our seller business, which impacts sequential growth and revenue -- and profitability.

So from a revenue perspective, we see a seasonally slower quarter in Q1 relative to the Q4 holiday season which, again, impacts profitability. And these seasonal trends, Bryan, have been in the business for each of the last three years, if you look back. Also, from a timing perspective, we are making deliberate investments in our business earlier in the year, beginning in Q1, which we expect to drive growth for the medium to the long term.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Tien-Tsin Huang of JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Tien-Tsin Huang -- J.P. Morgan -- Analyst

Thank you. Welcome to the call, Amrita. Just, Jack, I just wanted to get your perspective on some things. I know you just said you're excited about Cash Card.

But looking back to last year, Instant Deposit really carried the load and I'd say a surprise to the upside in 2018. So looking at this year, what products do you think are best positioned to drive lead growth in '19? In other words, what's this year's Instant Deposit?

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes, I think -- so a few things here. One, I'm really proud of how far Cash Card has come. That was a significant bet for the company. We're going against major incumbents.

It did require a lot of thoughtfulness, a lot of push on our side and a lot of patience as well. And we continue to see every single day that proving out. But the most important thing is it allows us to move superfast with other products like Square Card, and we're not like lollygagging around and just like being slow development anymore because we can move fast because we have all of this infrastructure at our disposal that allows us to build something like Square Card in a very short timeframe when considering our past 10 years. So I think the thing apart from Square Card and just everything that we can place on top of it and reach the Seller Community in the same way that we're reaching individuals with Cash App is, I think, people are finally starting to see the power of our ecosystem.

And they're not just seeing us as separate parts and separate tools, but the entire ecosystem. So I think the biggest driver is, as we make more of those connections and more of those integrations, people see it as one unit, and that starts with our customers, but certainly our shareholders, our investors and folks from the industry, we don't have a lot of competition in that regard. I think we're fairly unique in the ecosystem we're in. And this ecosystem, I said, is not just for under services, but it's also around our developer platform as well.

So as a developer coming to our platform, you get to access online, you get to access In-App and you get access hardware all in one place. And as we continue to improve that experience, we just provide a much more powerful option, not only for developers and their small business customers, but their larger merchant customers as well. One of the real strengths of the developer ecosystem for us has been an ability for a larger seller to take the parts of our ecosystem that they want, custom fit it into their shops or their restaurants, connect it with legacy systems they may have so it's not disruptive to their business and continue to carry on without missing a beat. So we think it's a really powerful equation, and you'll see us continue to add to the ecosystem equation to continue to strengthen that as a unit rather than just like the individual parts.

So that gets me super excited this year.

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Tien-Tsin, thank you so much for the welcome. Maybe I'll underscore a couple of the points that Jack made with a few of the things that get us excited about the momentum we have carrying us from a very strong 2018 into 2019 and some of the focus areas for us in 2019. As we've said, we're coming into '19 from a position of strength, exiting 2018 with 61% growth and $1.6 billion of adjusted revenue. And that growth, that scale, was driven by a diversity of growth levers.

We had positive revenue retention and a consistent three to four quarter payback period for new sellers. We saw new cohorts of sellers driving higher levels of adjusted revenue and an increasing mix of larger sellers. And then as you've heard, we have tremendous scale in our Cash App ecosystem now at over 15 million monthly actives of two times year over year. We're seeing growth from Instant Deposit but we're also seeing meaningful growth from Cash Card, and we see a future opportunity to continue building out that Cash App ecosystem driving further engagement.

So 2019, just quickly to take off some of the key focus areas for us to drive that over 40% adjusted revenue growth over $2.2 billion, we're going to take a long-term approach, as we always have, to our strategic priorities. So 2019 will be a continuation of that. We will be focused on launching and scaling new products as ever. So some of the things you might see, investing in our seller ecosystem with vertical-specific offerings, restaurants, retail services, continuing to scale our recent launches, including the expansion of the developer platform, Square Card and Terminal where we're seeing strong, early traction on both.

And all of those products are really going to help enable us to reach new customers and new segments while increasing engagement across the ecosystem.

Tien-Tsin Huang -- J.P. Morgan -- Analyst

All right. Good stuff. Thank you both.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Quest Skinner. Your line is open.

Unknown speaker

Hello. How are you guys today? Very amazing to hear all of this. I've been with Square for over a year now, and I have a Square Card and Cash App. But one thing I can say is I know it's made it easy for me to quickly buy my supplies, my materials.

But what other services would you guys be planning to offer that would allow me to transition from my traditional banking system completely over to this new infrastructure which you're designing?

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Thank you, Quest, and thanks for letting us feature you during the Square Card launch and also on the earnings letter. So the way we think about developing forward is looking at the most critical pain points that our sellers and our customers experience, and then figuring out very, very simple accessible ways to solve some of those issues. And we do have a breadth of services that we're excited about in that regard.

Everything from Payroll to Square Capital that you can imagine, handling more and more of the needs that you might have from a traditional banking partner that we could save you a trip to. So with the Square Card, we're going to learn superfast and make sure that we're identifying areas where we could be helpful. One of the things I'm proud to say in this Square Card is we've decided to like really recognize and honor the Seller Community that naturally builds. So one of the things we did is anytime you use your Square Card at another Square seller, that seller doesn't pay the fee.

So we handle that 2.75%. And we think that's awesome as a way to give back to our sellers. But things like that where we can be creative, where we can really solve critical needs for folks is what you're going to see more of. We're open to ideas as well, so keep them coming.

Unknown speaker

Got it. Thank you.

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Quest. Appreciate it.

Unknown speaker

Have a good evening. Appreciate it. Thank you. Appreciate you, guys.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Dan Perlin of RBC.

Dan Perlin -- RBC Capital Markets -- Analyst

Thanks. Good evening. I had a question. If you could give us some sense around the interchange economics for Square Card versus Cash Card.

And then secondarily, I'm wondering, are you seeing users on the Cash Card side where previously they're were Instant Deposit users kind of converting over to being Cash Card users with the idea that you're kind of porting the cost burden to the merchant in this interchange model versus charging a consumer for an Instant Deposit?

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Dan, thanks for the question. So the first part of your question with regard to interchange economics. Of course, as a business, prepaid debit card where Square makes money is on the interchange on the purchases. The interchange is publicly available through MasterCard spread tables.

What we're really focused on is driving greater utility, which leads to higher engagement and ultimately drives higher customer lifetime value. That's a similar approach to what we took with Cash Card, similar with Square Card.

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

I'm sorry, Dan, could you just repeat the second part of your question? I didn't fully understand it.

Dan Perlin -- RBC Capital Markets -- Analyst

Sure, sure. So you historically had Instant Deposit, which is something you charge the consumer for, but you can move those funds to your Cash Card so that you can utilize those anywhere MasterCard is accepted, which is great. The question is, is Instant Deposit a long-term viable business model? And let's just say it hits the maturation curve, is Cash Card the way in which to move that consumer over so that they're no longer being charged, you're basically taking the economics and pushing that onto the merchant. Does that make sense?

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Got it. Yes, that makes sense. So just to clarify some things, so you can store money within the Cash App. And if you want to move into your bank account, that's where Instant Deposit takes place.

So we charge 1.5% to instantly move into your bank account, otherwise you wait two, three days for it to transfer. We have seen -- we do have the Cash Card which allows Instant Spend and we do have economics from that as well. We generally want to be agnostic, but we believe that keeping people within the Cash App in that ecosystem is generally positive, first, for the customer and also for us because of the other financial services that we're going to continue to look at and add and the utility that we're going to add to the card. So a lot of it has to do with just making sure that we're providing something that has daily to lead the folks from peer to peer to the card.

But if they want to go to their traditional banking instrument, they can do that and they can do that for free with a delay or they can do it instantly with Instant Deposit. So we see these things as complementary. And we're even more confident in that because right now, we have four areas where we monetize the Cash App as well. So it provides enough diversification that we have for it.

Dan Perlin -- RBC Capital Markets -- Analyst

Thank you very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Steven Kwok of KBW. Your line is open.

Steven Kwok -- KBW -- Analyst

Thanks for taking my questions. I guess the first question I have is just around the momentum of moving upmarket into large sellers. Can you just talk about how that's going? It seems like the GPV is currently about 50% of live sellers as of right now. What do you expect that to go over the next couple of years? What's the opportunity you're seeing?

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes, I'll take the first part of your question and then pass it over to Amrita for comments as well. But generally, we're pretty excited about what we're seeing with larger sellers. A big factor in this is our developer platform, making sure that larger businesses have access to our full suite of tools and ecosystem and can custom fit it into their needs. So if they just want to use a hardware, they can just use a hardware and then can integrate it to their own systems, whether it'd be newer systems or legacy systems.

We're also pretty excited about the size of merchants that are utilizing our various services. So a Square Terminal seller, for instance, is annualized GPV is around 190k, registered seller is about 300k. Restaurant sellers, 650,000. So we're reaching some larger folks.

One good example of this and for all of you New Yorkers is Joe & The Juice. They use Square in over 50 of their stores and they have a custom point of sale that was developed specifically for their business. They used our SDKs to make it work and to make it look good and to make it something that they don't have to worry about. So we're reaching folks at scale because our products scale from the smallest of sellers all the way up to the largest.

And that's really been our thesis, is that we want to build a system that enables a seller to grow and that they never have to outgrow us, and we want to support them along every path of that journey, and that's how we think about the broader roadmap.

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Steven, just to add to what Jack said. We do see ongoing momentum with larger sellers. In the fourth quarter, 51% of our GPV came from larger sellers. That GPV is up 39% year over year.

And really, it's driven by the products that we offer that continue to serve larger sellers. And as Jack was saying, that cohesive ecosystem model that really focuses on omnichannel capabilities because we can provide that all-in-one solution to manage the complexities of managed payments, multiple locations, employees and tracking many customers, that's what's really going to drive this growth. And just to give you a couple data points around that. For omnichannel, 30% of our larger sellers sell through multiple channels with Square.

And with that seamless integration that we can provide, over 50% of larger sellers use two or more products, and that's obviously something that we can continue to grow. Finally, self on-boarding. Because of the frictionless onboarding, we can offer over 80% of our larger sellers self on-board. So we're going to continue to make progress there.

Steven Kwok -- KBW -- Analyst

Great. And I have a quick follow-up just around the license. I know you guys recently reapplied for one. Can you just talk about the timeline around it? And thanks, and welcome aboard, Amrita.

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Steven. We don't have any updates on the time line. We're working closely with the FDIC right now and Utah DFI as they review our applications, and we'll give you updates as soon as we have them.

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Steven.

Steven Kwok -- KBW -- Analyst

Great. Thanks for taking my questions.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jason Kupferberg of Bank of America. Your line is open.

Jason Kupferberg -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Great. Thanks, guys, and welcome, Amrita. Maybe just to start with a margin question for you. I wanted to get some perspective.

Just as we think conceptually beyond 2019, as you mentioned, this year, we should see a similar amount of EBITDA margin expansion in the business as we did last year. What's your view kind of more medium to long term? I mean, is this the right ZIP Code? 200, 250 basis points a year? Do you think there can be some acceleration in the rate of operating leverage as we look out further? And then maybe just kind of unrelated, maybe this one's more for Jack, but just wanted to get a quick update on the non-U.S. markets, latest trends there. And any plans to add more countries in 2019?

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Jason, thanks. So with respect to your question on long-term margin expansion, we're being very deliberate and purposeful in how we reinvest for growth and as ever continuing the financial discipline that Square has shown over the years. We've talked about a long-term margin goal of 35% to 40% at Investor Day, and we continue to see strong underlying drivers and momentum in our business. We have a massive opportunity in front of us to invest across our top three focus areas that you heard: omnichannel, financial services and international, and we're driving real results.

With margin expansion, for each of the last five years, OPEX leverage of over five points in 2018. So as we head into 2019, we're going to continue to see margin expansion. And if we can continue to execute against our roadmap for delivering new products that scale, we will continue to see growth that can lead to margin expansion and operating leverage that can lead to margin expansion. And finally, I'll just say, we have confidence in our overall business model, positive dollar-based retention, continued payback period of three to four quarters, multiple monetization levers across sellers and individuals and an ability to flex levers across variable costs, whether that be sales and marketing and support.

All of those things will, we believe, continue to drive growth for us over the long term in terms of margins.

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Jason, so we have no immediate plans for new markets, mainly because the markets that we're in are some of the biggest markets in the world and we see so much more opportunity to really strengthen them. One, in particular, for instance, is Japan. With everything happening around the Tokyo 2020 Olympics, the market -- and with the government pushing for more electronic payment adoption, we think that's going to be a significant focus for us and something that we can see a lot of benefit from. But I will remind everyone that one of the interesting things about the acquisition of Weebly was how global they were and how much insight that gave us into where we can make new moves and how we might open entirely new markets or just might deploy parts of the ecosystem that we would be able to move much faster than our in-person credit card terminals.

So we're looking -- we're certainly learning as fast as we can and we're taking all the information and prioritizing it. But we believe there's so much opportunity in the markets that we're in that we're going to continue to double down on them.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Pete Christiansen of Citi. Your line is open.

Pete Christiansen -- Citi -- Analyst

Thanks you, and welcome, Amrita. Jack, I appreciate your comments on the power of the ecosystem. And I guess if you look at a lot of your competitors out there, particularly these converged payment type of offerings that somewhat look like a Square, I mean, some pundits believe that there's less stickiness in this type of solution, that it's easy to switch from one seller solution to another. And now you're starting to see increasing usage of interchange plus pricing.

Do you view that as a threat? And how does Square think about competing against more competitive pricing in similar competing products?

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes, thanks for the question, Pete. So we've seen this before. And we've definitely seen much larger competitors come into our space with much more aggressive pricing than we were offering, and we did see a short term kind of interest in what they're doing and maybe some customers switching over. But after months, we saw those same customers switch back.

And the reason why is the quality of our software, the simplicity, the pairing with our hardware and the broader ecosystem. I think the -- I believe the ecosystem is extremely sticky because it builds durable relationships. If we're just offering and we're just focused on providing payments in the Register, certainly there are so many other competitors out there. But when people come in for payments in the Register and then they use Payroll or their restaurant and they use Caviar or these are marketing and really getting offers from Square Capital, it's really hard to find that mix anywhere else, and that builds durability.

So even if we see a decline in one particular part of a service, we still have a strong relationship with the rest of the services. So unlike a lot of our single-focus competitors, a customer can fire them and it fires the entire company, whereas they may fire one part of our ecosystem but still use three other things. So we think that adds a ton of resiliency, a ton of durability of the relationship, but it's all the function of how well we continue to strengthen this, and that's our focus. Like, we know we're building an ecosystem, we know that this is our core differentiator above all else, and we benefit not only from x amount of customers, but internal customers, too, with our speed of development.

Pete Christiansen -- Citi -- Analyst

That's helpful commentary. And then I'd just like to follow up any development with the new installment product. We get questions a lot about what percentage of volume is Square's high-ticket volume? And I realized an installment product would actually increase that over time, but it would be helpful to see where we are in that development roadmap.

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes, we are still pretty early on it so we're still testing a lot. We're excited about it because it does give -- we launched it as -- it looks like a customer benefit, and it is, but it's really a seller tool, and the more they can offer their customers to enable them to be ready to purchase what they intend to purchase, the more sales a seller makes. So we think that's pretty critical, and something that we want to continue to strengthen. But there's a ton for us to learn right now, and we're still playing with a bunch of the variables to make sure that we get it right so that our sellers, customers see it and they see the utility and signing up for it and that they're really pushing on it.

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

And Pete, just to add, in the third quarter -- I'm just going to add to that. In the third quarter, we saw 10 million transactions or installments on Square that were greater than $250.

Operator

[Operator instructions] Your next question comes from the line of James Schneider of Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

James Schneider -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Thank you. Good afternoon, and welcome, Amrita. I wonder if you could maybe just pick up and provide a little bit more commentary on the long-term margin expansion outlook you provided earlier. Maybe tell us how you're thinking about it in the medium term.

Obviously, it sounds like you want to invest and develop the biggest possible franchise, the revenue scale that the company can possibly get to. But how should we think about the bounds of margin expansion? Specifically, are you solving for EBITDA growth? Or are you solving for the largest potential revenue base and revenue working TAM?

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

James, thanks for the question. So what we're focused on is driving growth on the top line and absolute dollar growth on the bottom line. Just to speak more a little bit about the track record that we've developed here around financial discipline. We've delivered margin expansion in each of the last five years.

In 2018, we had $257 million in EBITDA, up 85% year over year with 16% margins. That was five points of OPEX leverage and two points of EBITDA margin growth. And again, the track record of the things, the types of things that we're investing in, are driving results. We're launching new products and we're scaling new products.

And those results have been remarkable in the last few years. I think it's important and worth underscoring so that you understand how we think about this for the long-term reinvestment profile for the business. Our new products launched in the last five years now account for 51% of adjusted revenue. That's 15 points higher than where it was a year ago.

We've built out an entirely new ecosystem with Cash App in the last few years. That's now 15 million monthly actives. That's purposeful investment over a period of time that's gotten us to this point now where we can scale and reach mainstream status. And we did all this while also delivering, not only top-line growth, but margin expansion in the business.

So as we think about the long term here, that's what our focus is, continuing to put out great products and scaling them over time. And that ultimately will lead to absolute dollar growth.

James Schneider -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

And then maybe one for Jack. Could you maybe provide any kind of update in metrics in terms of the traction your vertical specific software solutions are getting in terms of penetration of sellers, whether that be Square for Restaurants or Appointments, etc.?

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes, so Square for Restaurants is definitely the bright star here. We learned a lot from that launch, mainly because we really focused on getting as much feedback as we could from restaurants themselves. We had a bunch of workshops with restaurant owners and staff to make sure that we're getting the flow exactly right. And it's a great launch, but it is just a start.

We serve a very particular type of restaurant. We don't serve all restaurant types right now, and we continue to learn how we can build the software so that we can attract larger and larger restaurant sellers as well and continue to look for ways to integrate Caviar. In terms of retail, we had to do a bit of a reboot on just how we think about retail. We saw a lot of issues with the original interface and just have been rethinking a lot of that to make sure that we're solving retailers' needs, and we've been applying the same things that we learned from restaurants into the retail space.

And Appointments continues to thrive. We want to make sure that we're available in all platforms, that we're accessible to everyone who wants to use the app, and that there's deeper integration with the ecosystem as well. So generally quite positive, and they're all really, really great starts. The one thing that I would point to in a metric standpoint for Restaurants, in particular, is that over 60% of our Square for Restaurants sellers are self on-boarding.

That's exactly what we want throughout all of the verticals. We want to push as much as possible to self on-board. It's easier for our sellers, obviously much easier for us, and that it speaks to the simplicity and elegance of our interface. So we have a very high bar set right now, and we're going to be applying it across the other two verticals as well.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Tom McCrohan from Mizuho. Your line is open.

Tom McCrohan -- Mizuho Americas -- Analyst

Thanks and welcome, Amrita, to the team. I had a question on the Cash Card. Is there any metrics you can provide around the average balance that people are keeping in their Cash App? And maybe any trends there as they're growing? And relatedly, is there any update on the Boost program and how that reward program might evolve over time?

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes. So we're not disclosing the average balance that folks keep, but I will give you some other points. Like, so we are seeing mainstream adoption, we are seeing appeal with people aged 18 to 34, and one interesting thing we're seeing is that we're seeing a lot more increased engagement through higher average transactions per customer, and we're increasingly seeing people using Cash App as a primary spending tool, and this is really interesting because we do see people who are using the Cash App as their way to transact, and it starts with friends and family and moves on to the Square Card, to the merchants that they go to all the time where we have a Direct Deposit functionality where people can actually deposit their payroll right into it as well. So we continue to add features that make us a first consideration, and in many cases, the primary tool as well.

So we're going to continue to build that out and strengthen even more.

Tom McCrohan -- Mizuho Americas -- Analyst

Excellent. And if I can have a quick follow-up on product development expenses and kind of trends there. You spent about 31% of revenue, adjusted revenue on product development, and you entered the year with 35% or so guidance for revenue growth, end of the year, 53%, largely due to the returns you got on the incremental product development expenses. And I just want to understand how you're thinking about the return on those dollars spent.

So you had pretty -- and on an absolute dollar basis, you had a $600 million of incremental adjusted revenue this year largely because you spend money creating products that people want, and it seems like the guidance implies you're going to have an additional incremental $600 million of revenues next year and this year, in 2019, for maintaining similar levels of product development. So I just want to make sure you're thinking about that way in terms of getting the return on each incremental dollar spent on product development, you're seeing the same returns looking forward as you did in the past.

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Sorry, before we get into that, I forgot your question on Boost. We're pretty excited about this program. We continue to add new merchants to it. We're not aware of any other debit card program that enables instant cash back at favored merchants, and we think there's a lot of incentive both for consumers and also our seller partners on it.

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

And then, Tom, thanks for the question on product development. I'd bring -- if you to look back at our track record here in the products we've developed and scaled over the past five years, again, products over the last five years now accounting for 51%, have adjusted revenue up 15 points year over year, an entirely new cash ecosystem. We're going to continue to lean in from an investment perspective with the product development in driving velocity around launching and scaling new features. Top priorities, obviously omnichannel, verticals, developer platform, Weebly, eCommerce integration.

From a financial services perspective, it's continued growth on Cash App and Square Card. And then obviously, international will continue to scale as well. So again, strong track record, and we'll continue to execute against the long-term strategic priorities.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Chris Brendler of Buckingham. Your line is open.

Chris Brendler -- Buckingham Research -- Analyst

Hi, thanks. Thanks for taking my question and welcome, Amrita, as well. I'd like to ask about the growth in volume this quarter. It accelerated slightly sort of in line with estimates.

But if you look at the mix by sellers, continued slowdown in the micro seller, the actual sequential acceleration in mid and large sellers picked up a little bit. So I was wondering if there's anything macro that you're seeing at that level in the micro seller. Or is it just the business is shifting away from micro and that's why you're seeing all of the slower growth here.

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Chris, thanks for the question. So yes, growth and volume, assuming you're talking about GPV there. We drove strong GPV growth at scale, up 28% in the quarter, up 30% year over year, going from $65 billion in 2017 to $85 billion. We're focused on serving all of our sellers.

And many of the things that we're doing in terms of products and services to serve larger sellers also matter for micro sellers. And we're very focused on that community as well. I wouldn't read too much into the specific mix of micro there because there's a lot of different ways that we can grow with micro. And some of the ways actually help the business grow and push them into the larger seller category.

So there's a little bit of mix going on in sellers moving between categories. And also, when we think about serving the microchannel, we're micro sellers, we're focused not only onboarding but also growing with them, adding new products and services to the suite across the ecosystem. And 40% of our larger sellers started as micro. So if we can help them grow their business, we view that as success.

Chris Brendler -- Buckingham Research -- Analyst

That's great. And my follow-up would be the disclosure you have on Page 5 with the 30% omnichannel sellers sort of very impressive number, and there's a comment there is that 10% of your volume is coming from Virtual Terminal Invoices and eCommerce. Can you give us a sense of how much that's growing? I think there was a comment at one point, one-third of your volume potentially was card not present. So I just reconcile that 10% with the one-third being card not present from moving to its asset things.

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Sorry, Chris, can you clarify the question?

Chris Brendler -- Buckingham Research -- Analyst

Yes, just the -- so the Virtual Terminal Invoices of eCommerce on Page 5 contributed 10 -- more than 10% of Square's GPV in the quarter. That's a nice number to have. I also thought there was a prior comment that one-third of your volume was card not present. So if it's card not present, where does it go besides those Invoices and Virtual Terminal eCommerce API? I'm trying to get a sense of your eCommerce mix.

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Sure. This is an area that we continue to be focused on. I'm not sure I'd necessarily correlate those two different metrics together, but 10% volume though across Invoices, Virtual Terminal, eCommerce contributed more than 10% of our GPV in the fourth quarter, and it is growing meaningfully over time.

Chris Brendler -- Buckingham Research -- Analyst

OK. Actually, I was reading it wrong. It says more than 10% contribution in growth. OK.

And then any comment on eCommerce in terms of like the mix and health of your overall business?

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

We acquired Weebly to strengthen us. And just an update on the integration. We've been working hard to make sure that we're introducing Square sellers to the concept of Weebly and vice versa, focus a lot of the everyday efforts on eCommerce and thinking about just the right opportunities to brand and to make sure that people see these as one thing, and that's going to be our focus for the next few months.

Chris Brendler -- Buckingham Research -- Analyst

Thanks so much, guys.

Operator

Your final question comes from the line of James Faucette of Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

James Faucette -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

Thank you very much and saying my thanks to you, Amrita, for internalizing so much of Square so quickly. It must have been a lot of hard work in the last month or so.

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Pretty amazing.

James Faucette -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

I wanted to ask a couple of quick questions. First, on Square Capital. That came in a bit better than we had thought. And historically, we thought that there would be a bit more seasonality in that part of the business, but the originations were up sequentially.

So can you talk a little bit about what's happening with who you're extending credit to and under what circumstances? And if anything, around the economics of that business have changed in the last year or so. And then I did want to follow up on the ILC question. I know that you don't have an update on timing, but Jack, have you gotten any early feedback from the regulators, et cetera, on the application? And have they left you with anything incremental to think about there?

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, James, for the warm welcome. I'll start off on your question on capital origination. Our core platform product continued to perform really well. We had 72,000 loans in the quarter, totaling $472 million, which was up 55% year over year.

However, I think it's probably best to look at this business on a full year or a trailing 12-month basis because you do have some swings quarter to quarter. So on a full-year basis, we had $1.6 billion, which was about 36% year over year and cumulatively have now facilitated $4 billion in loans across -- 650,000 loans and 230,000 sellers. We have not changed our criteria with respect to risk, not taking on incremental risk. And with this product, as you know, we have a long track record of sort of financial discipline, prudent risk management.

We have short-term loans here, generally less than a year, so we have the ability to pivot quickly. We have a lot of data around the broader ecosystem around sellers to inform our models in real time to manage risk. So we believe we have a differentiated product. But again, at the highest level, I'd look at the full year as opposed to any given quarter.

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

James, unfortunately, I can't talk about any ILC updates, but I will say like we've enjoyed the process and the conversations, and we look forward to more direct relationship with regulators.

Operator

I'd like to turn the call back to the company for closing remarks.

Jason Lee -- Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, everyone, for joining our call. I would like to remind everyone that we'll be hosting our first-quarter 2019 earnings call on May 1st. Thanks again for participating today.

Operator

[Operator signoff]

Duration: 60 minutes

Call Participants:

Jason Lee -- Head of Investor Relations

Jack Dorsey -- Chief Executive Officer

Amrita Ahuja -- Chief Financial Officer

Darrin Peller -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

Bryan Keane -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Tien-Tsin Huang -- J.P. Morgan -- Analyst

Dan Perlin -- RBC Capital Markets -- Analyst

Steven Kwok -- KBW -- Analyst

Jason Kupferberg -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Pete Christiansen -- Citi -- Analyst

James Schneider -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Tom McCrohan -- Mizuho Americas -- Analyst

Chris Brendler -- Buckingham Research -- Analyst

James Faucette -- Morgan Stanley -- Analyst

More SQ analysis

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Thursday, February 28, 2019

Best Stocks To Invest In 2019

tags:SATS,PODD,KLXI,BIOS,TEL,NFEC, What happened

Shares of several Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) suppliers fell hard in April of 2018, either in direct response to Cupertino's business results or due to comments made by the iPhone maker's executives.

According to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, audio chip supplier Cirrus Logic (NASDAQ:CRUS) fell 10.2% lower in April including a 7% dip in three days as analysts pondered the future of Apple's iPhone plans. Screen builder LG Display (NYSE:LPL) saw a 10.7% month-long dip, and memory chip giant Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) took an 11.8% haircut last month. For Apple's own part, its share prices fell 7% in three days but recovered to post a 1.5% total dip for the month -- slightly stronger than the broader market's 2.6% decline.

Image source: Apple.

So what

Before Apple's earnings report at the end of April, it looked like the iPhone X was running into supply chain issues that should put a lid on the sales volume. Build rates calculated by third-party analysts on the back of checks and analysis further down the supply chain indicated that Apple would slash its iPhone X production to about 60% of the expected volume. For example, LG Display and its peers only got 25 million orders for iPhone X-style OLED screens in the first quarter, down from early estimates of roughly 40 million.

Best Stocks To Invest In 2019: EchoStar Corporation(SATS)

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  • [By Lisa Levin] Companies Reporting Before The Bell Nomad Foods Limited (NYSE: NOMD) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.36 per share on revenue of $656.43 million. AMC Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: AMCX) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $2.2 per share on revenue of $720.14 million. Magna International Inc. (NYSE: MGA) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $1.7 per share on revenue of $10.11 billion. Univar Inc. (NYSE: UNVR) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.36 per share on revenue of $2.12 billion. Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE: DUK) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.14 per share on revenue of $5.78 billion. Owens & Minor, Inc. (NYSE: OMI) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.47 per share on revenue of $2.40 billion. Prestige Brands Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: PBH) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.61 per share on revenue of $255.60 million. Tribune Media Company (NYSE: TRCO) is projected to report quarterly earnings at $0.06 per share on revenue of $457.67 million. ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ: ARCB) is estimated to report quarterly loss at $0.07 per share on revenue of $691.18 million. Genesis Healthcare, Inc. (NYSE: GEN) is projected to report quarterly loss at $0.34 per share on revenue of $1.32 billion. Enbridge Inc. (NYSE: ENB) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.55 per share on revenue of $10.14 billion. Kelly Services, Inc. (NASDAQ: KELYA) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $0.42 per share on revenue of $1.34 billion. NICE Ltd. (NASDAQ: NICE) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $1.01 per share on revenue of $332.93 million. World Acceptance Corporation (NASDAQ: WRLD) is estimated to report quarterly earnings at $3.94 per share on revenue of $147.32 million. MAXIMUS, Inc. (NYSE: MMS) is expected to report quarterly earnings at $0.84 per share on revenue of $616.04 million. Choice Hotels International, Inc. (NYSE: CH
  • [By Motley Fool Transcribers]

    EchoStar Corp  (NASDAQ:SATS)Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 21, 2019, 11:00 a.m. ET

    Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

    Operator

Best Stocks To Invest In 2019: Insulet Corporation(PODD)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Shane Hupp]

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  • [By Stephan Byrd]

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Best Stocks To Invest In 2019: KLX Inc.(KLXI)

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  • [By Ethan Ryder]

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Best Stocks To Invest In 2019: BioScrip, Inc.(BIOS)

Advisors' Opinion:
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Best Stocks To Invest In 2019: TE Connectivity Ltd.(TEL)

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  • [By Ethan Ryder]

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  • [By Logan Wallace]

    United Capital Financial Advisers LLC boosted its position in TE Connectivity Ltd (NYSE:TEL) by 18.5% during the 1st quarter, HoldingsChannel reports. The fund owned 11,098 shares of the electronics maker’s stock after acquiring an additional 1,736 shares during the quarter. United Capital Financial Advisers LLC’s holdings in TE Connectivity were worth $1,109,000 as of its most recent SEC filing.

  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    Telcoin (CURRENCY:TEL) traded down 5.5% against the dollar during the 24-hour period ending at 14:00 PM ET on September 2nd. Over the last seven days, Telcoin has traded 20.9% higher against the dollar. Telcoin has a market capitalization of $25.25 million and $119,035.00 worth of Telcoin was traded on exchanges in the last day. One Telcoin token can now be purchased for $0.0008 or 0.00000011 BTC on popular exchanges including Kucoin, HitBTC, EtherDelta (ForkDelta) and IDEX.

  • [By Ethan Ryder]

    Get a free copy of the Zacks research report on TE Connectivity (TEL)

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  • [By Joseph Griffin]

    TE Connectivity Ltd (NYSE:TEL) was the recipient of some unusual options trading activity on Thursday. Stock investors purchased 1,536 call options on the stock. This represents an increase of 1,296% compared to the typical daily volume of 110 call options.

Best Stocks To Invest In 2019: NF Energy Saving Corporation(NFEC)

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Money Morning Staff Reports]

    But Blink and our other penny stocks to watch are unlikely to continue to lock in such spectacular gains in June. After looking at our 10 top penny stocks to watch this month, we'll show you a small-cap stock with great profit potential in its future…

    Penny Stock Current Share Price Law Month's Gain  Blink Charging Co. (Nasdaq: BLNK) $7.07 439.85% Senes Tech Inc. (Nasdaq: SNES) $1.27 175.40% Vivis Inc. (Nasdaq: VVUS) $0.77 150.41% Adomani Inc. (Nasdaq: ADOM) $1.49 137.68% NF Energy Saving Co. (Nasdaq: NFEC) $2.34 134.88% Vaalco Energy Inc. (NYSE: EGY) $2.15 109.06% Heat Biologics Inc. (Nasdaq: HTBX) $2.35 99.12% ArQule Inc. (Nasdaq: ARQL) $4.88 90.74% LiqTech International Inc. (NYSE: LIQT) $0.66 85.60% Transenterix Inc. (NYSE: TRXC) $3.46 77.84%

    While last month's gains are tremendous, they also illustrate the inherent dangers that come with investing in penny stocks.

  • [By Shane Hupp]

    News coverage about NF Energy Saving (NASDAQ:NFEC) has been trending somewhat positive this week, Accern Sentiment Analysis reports. The research group scores the sentiment of press coverage by analyzing more than twenty million blog and news sources in real-time. Accern ranks coverage of companies on a scale of -1 to 1, with scores nearest to one being the most favorable. NF Energy Saving earned a media sentiment score of 0.09 on Accern’s scale. Accern also gave media headlines about the industrial products company an impact score of 46.4940834774151 out of 100, meaning that recent press coverage is somewhat unlikely to have an impact on the stock’s share price in the next several days.

  • [By Lisa Levin] Gainers Sigma Labs, Inc. (NASDAQ: SGLB) shares rose 90.9 percent to $2.52. Sigma Labs demonstrated proof of concept for closed loop quality control during metal additive manufacturing. Oragenics, Inc. (NYSE: OGEN) shares surged 58.4 percent to $1.9005 after the company’s AG013 for oral mucositis in head and neck cancer patients showed favorable safety profile in mid-stage OM study. Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. (NYSE: DKS) shares climbed 23.2 percent to $37.5370 after the company reported upbeat Q1 earnings and raised FY18 earnings outlook. Summer Infant, Inc. (NASDAQ: SUMR) rose 21.9 percent to $1.17 after announcing commitment for $60 million credit facility from Bank of America and $17.5 million term loan from Pathlight Capital. TapImmune, Inc. (NASDAQ: TPIV) jumped 18.8 percent to $4.87. WBB Securities upgraded TapImmune from Speculative Buy to Buy. Movado Group, Inc. (NYSE: MOV) gained 17.2 percent to $49.45 after the company reported better-than-expected Q1 results and raised its guidance. ASLAN Pharmaceuticals Limited (NASDAQ: ASLN) jumped 16.2 percent to $7.96. BTIG Research initiated coverage on ASLAN Pharmaceuticals with a Buy rating. Legacy Reserves LP (NASDAQ: LGCY) rose 15.5 percent to $5.6011. InspireMD, Inc. (NYSE: NSPR) gained 13.3 percent to $1.36 following PR announcing sustained benefit of CGuard EPS. Immutep Limited (NASDAQ: IMMP) shares climbed 13.2 percent to $2.7724 after the company reported new data from its ongoing TACTI-mel Phase I trial, which evaluated the combination of eftilagimod alpha, its lead compound, with Merck & Co., Inc. (NYSE: MRK)'s Keytruda in unresectable or metastatic melanoma patients, who have had a suboptimal response or had disease progression with keytruda monotherapy.. SpartanNash Co (NASDAQ: SPTN) rose 12.2 percent to $21.20 after the company reported upbeat earnings for its first quarter on Tuesday. Amtech Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: ASYS) rose 12.1 percent to

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (PEG) Q4 2018 Earnings Conference Call Transcript

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Image source: The Motley Fool.

Public Service Enterprise Group Inc  (NYSE:PEG)Q4 2018 Earnings Conference CallFeb. 27, 2019, 11:00 a.m. ET

Contents: Prepared Remarks Questions and Answers Call Participants Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Julie. And I am your event operator today. I would like to welcome everyone to today's conference, Public Service Enterprise Group's Fourth Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast.

At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session for members of the financial community. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference is being recorded, Wednesday, February 27th, 2019, and will be available for telephone replay beginning at 1 PM Eastern today until 11:30 PM Eastern on Thursday, March 7th, 2019. It will also be available as an audio webcast on PSEG's corporate website at www.pseg.com.

I would now like to turn the conference over to Carlotta Chan. Please go ahead.

Carlotta Chan -- Senior Director of Investor Relations

Thank you, Julie. Good morning, and thank you for participating in our earnings call. We released our fourth quarter and full year 2018 earnings results earlier today. The earnings release, attachments and slides detailing operating results by Company are posted on the IR website at investor.pseg.com and our 10-K will be filed later today.

The earnings release and other materials we will discuss during today's call contain forward-looking statements and estimates, that are subject to various risks and uncertainties. We also discuss non-GAAP operating earnings and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA, which differ from net income as reported in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles in the United States.

Reconciliations of our non-GAAP financial measures and a disclaimer regarding forward-looking statements are posted on our IR website and are included in today's slides and in our earnings release.

I would now like to turn the call over to Ralph Izzo, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of Public Service Enterprise Group. Joining Ralph on today's call is Dan Cregg, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. At the conclusion of their remarks, there will be time for your questions. Ralph?

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Carlotta and thank you all for joining us today to discuss our fourth quarter and full year 2018 financial results. Earlier today, we reported non-GAAP operating earnings for the fourth quarter of $0.56 per share, versus non-GAAP operating earnings of $0.57 per share in the fourth quarter of 2017. Non-GAAP operating earnings for the full year were $3.12 per share, up 6.5% over 2017's non-GAAP operating earnings of $2.93 per share. Our GAAP results for the full year of $2.83 per share includes the recognition of net unrealized losses on Nuclear Decommissioning Trust equity securities, as a result of new accounting rules. Mark-to-market losses and a gain related to the sale of the retired Hudson and Mercer generating units.

Details on the results for the quarter and the full year can be found on slides 5 and 6. PSEG had a successful year in 2018, continuing our long-term strategy of investing in PSE&G's infrastructure and growing the percentage of our earnings coming from the regulated business. We put $3 billion of capital to work at PSE&G, constructively settled out first distribution base rate case in eight years, obtained approval for the next phase of our Gas System Modernization Program, which I'll refer to as GSMP II, and filed two other significant regulatory programs.

The first filing, Energy Strong II, will enhance system reliability and resiliency, and the second filing, our Clean Energy Future or CEF, support New Jersey's Clean Energy goals and give every customer, the opportunity to reduce their energy bill while lowering emissions. You may recall that New Jersey passed Clean Energy legislation in 2018, which requires utilities to implement energy efficiency measures to reduce electricity usage by 2% and natural gas usage by 0.75%.

Our CEF proposals are aligned with the objectives outlined by Governor Murphy and the legislature and designed to advance energy efficiency, electric vehicles and energy storage, as well as smart electric meters or otherwise referred to as Advanced Metering Infrastructure, AMI, through a broad group of customers in a least cost manner. We consider our proposal to be the best way to achieve the state's energy efficiency savings targets, as it accomplishes this while limiting the growth in the customer bill and providing fairer broad based access to such benefits. Speaking of the customer bill, PSE&G was the first utility in New Jersey to return the benefits of lower corporate income tax rates, which totaled approximately $262 million in customer savings last year.

In addition, in 2019, we have implemented the return of $380 million of additional tax reform savings, related to accumulated deferred income taxes, that will further moderate customer bills going forward. We also made major progress at PSEG Power with last May's legislation that recognizes zero carbon attributes, provided by New Jersey's nuclear generation and established the Zero Emission Certificate program.

In addition, Power completed and placed into service 1,300 megawatts of new, highly efficient combined cycle gas units or CCGTs into a PJM fleet, with two of the three CCGT's now online, powers expecting to complete its multi-year construction program in the middle of 2019, that will also bring an improvement in this free cash flow as Power's ongoing capital needs decline.

PSEG's operations performed with higher reliability in 2018 when it mattered most, during critical times when our service territory experienced extreme weather events, that included a Cyclone bomb, a polar vortex, multiple nor'easters and extended summer heatwave and the wettest year on record.

In addition to safely operating our T&D system throughout the year, our associates shared their expertise and provided mutual aid to many of our neighboring utilities. At PSEG Power, our Hope Creek Nuclear Plant, achieved its first ever breaker to breaker continuous run in April of 2018 helping deliver carbon free energy in support of the state's clean energy goals.

Non-GAAP operating earnings at PSE&G grew by 10.5% to $2.10 per share in 2018, benefiting from incremental investments in Transmission and Distribution programs that expanded rate base by $2 billion to end the year above $19 billion for an increase of 13%. This growth is consistent with the approximate 12% compounded annual growth rate in PSE&G's earnings over the past five years, and reflects the record $14.4 billion of capital invested in the reliability and resiliency of our system, over the same period.

Of note PSE&G achieved this growth in earnings and rate base through constructive regulatory mechanisms that allow for contemporaneous or clause based recovery for the majority of those important infrastructure investments. Moreover PSE&G's efficiency and discipline in managing cost enable it to operate without a base rate increase, since 2010. In our recent distribution base, rate review was completed with customer rates remaining basically flat. We will continue to drive this disciplined approach to efficient growth in earnings and rate base along with a continued focus on the customer bill. Our investments in system reliability, continue to be recognized for the value brought to our customers.

For the 17th year in a row PSE&G was recognized as the most reliable electric utility in the Mid-Atlantic region, and was also awarded the 2018 Outstanding Customer Reliability Experience Award, highlighting our outage reporting and restoration communications. Last May, the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities approved a $1.9 billion five-year investment plan to extend PSE&G's innovative Gas System Modernization program, modeled after the infrastructure investment program process established by the BPU to incentivize investments in critical utility infrastructure.

PSE&G recently began this next stage of accelerated replacement of up to 875 miles of aging gas pipe which will carry us through 2023. In the coming months, we will strive to make progress on both the Energy Strong II filing and the Clean Energy future energy efficiency program with anticipated decisions on both programs sometime in the third quarter.

Now, let me turn my attention to PSEG Power. Power's non-GAAP operating earnings for the full year of $502 million or $0.99 per share were 1% below last year. Power continues to exercise stringent cost discipline, while producing solid operating results, that included higher generation from our gas and coal-fired units over the prior year.

As I mentioned previously, PSEG Power is nearing completion of its construction program related to its three new natural gas combined cycle generation stations with the last unit Bridgeport Harbor 5 expected to be completed in the middle of this year. The Keys and Sewaren stations completed last year have operated well since coming into service.

Together, these three units represent 1,800 megawatts of new, efficient, clean, gas fired capacity, that will replace some older units and improve Power's competitive position. On the policy front, I want to bring you up to date on our efforts to secure recognition for the value of the environmental fuel diversity and resiliency attributes provided by our three New Jersey nuclear units.

Nuclear generation is a critical component of New Jersey's generation portfolio and it provides approximately 40% of New Jersey's electric power needs and over 90% of its carbon free electricity. The legislation created a Zero Emission Certificate program that is being administered by the BPU, which is now in the process of evaluating the three applications submitted by Power in December of 2018.

This awarded the New Jersey Zero Emission Certificate, they will be set for a three year period at $0.00004 (ph) per kilowatt hour, which allows for approximately $10 per megawatt hour in payments to any selected nuclear plant. The legislation requires a BPU decision by April 18th. Any plant receiving a ZEC award starts accruing benefits in April, with the first award period ending in May of 2022.

The legislation requires nuclear plants to reapply for any subsequent three-year award period. In December 2018, Power submitted, ZEC applications to the BPU for the sale of one and two, and Hope Creek Nuclear Plants. These were the only application submitted. As required, the three applications included a certification in which Power confirmed that each of the Salem 1, Salem 2 and Hope Creek plants will cease operations within three years absent a material financial change. While we are fully confident that each of our three ZEC applications demonstrates conclusively that the financial environmental standards required under New Jersey's legislation have been met, we cannot predict what the BPU will decide.

As a result, we have continued contingency planning to shut down the units, in the event that any of the Salem 1, Salem 2 or Hope Creek plant is not selected to receive Zero Emission Certificate starting in April of this year and don't otherwise experience a material financial change. Power will then take all necessary steps to retire all three plants at their next refueling outages. With respect to FERC's pending rule on the PJM capacity auction design and interim decision remains pending.

As you know, last June FERC issued an order finding that PJM's current capacity market construct is unjust and unreasonable, because it allow state supported resources to suppress capacity prices. FERC suggested alternative approaches, which included modifying its minimum offers price rule to apply to new and existing resources that receive out of market payments. FERC's other directive was to establish an option that would allow on a resource-specific basis, state-supported resources to be removed from the PJM capacity market along with a commensurate amount of load for a period of time.

PJM submitted this recommendation for a two-stage capacity auction, which would leave in state-supported resources and low during the initial auction to determine capacity obligations. PJM will then remove the state-supported units and rerun the auction, with the remaining supply stack. This fill-in generation that replaced the removed resources, such the final capacity market clearing price for all resources. These fill-in resources are needed for the overall capacity obligation. They don't receive the market-clearing price, but instead they get what's referred to as a lost opportunity payment, equal to the difference between their bid and the market clearing price. We believe that either PJM's two-stage repricing proposal or the FERC's suggested resource-specific FRR alternative can work with New Jersey's existing ZEC structure.

Alternatively, if all of our New Jersey nuclear plants are selected to receive Zero Emission Certificate payments in April, 2019, but the financial condition of the plant is materially adversely impacted by potential changes to the capacity market construct being considered by FERC. And in the action of sufficient capacity revenues provided under program approved by the BPU in accordance with the FERC-authorized capacity mechanism, then Power would still take all necessary steps to retire all of these plans.

With respect to energy, the PJM Board recently decided to submit a section 206 filing to FERC covering PJM's reserve price formation proposal, also known as ORDC or operating reserve demand curve. This effort is intended to improve scarcity price formation and overhaul operating reserve levels in energy prices to better reflect system conditions and appropriately value scarcity. PJM expects to submit the filings in the next few weeks, but the timing and ultimate implementation remain uncertain. And in fact, if implemented, any revenue recognition could be well into the future. The State of New Jersey has also made progress in its efforts to become a leader in offshore wind following Governor Murphy's executive offer directing the BPU to move the state toward our 2030 goal of 3,500 megawatts of offshore wind energy generation.

An initial solicitation was established for 1,100 megawatts of offshore wind and the state received three bids just this past December. In connection with the bid submitted by Ocean Wind LLC, a subsidiary of Orsted US Offshore Wind, we agree to provide energy management services and the potential lease of land for use in project development. We also retain an option to acquire an equity interest in the project. If Orsted's bid is selected, we would expect to make a decision regarding what, if any investment we may have in the Ocean Wind project in the second half of 2019.

Our financial condition remains a competitive advantage and we continue to benefit from the financial flexibility that a healthy balance sheet provides. We ended 2018 with solid credit metrics that will enable us to finance our considerable capital plans over the coming five years and provide the opportunity for growth in our dividend without the need to issue equity. Our total capital program for the years 2019 through 2023 is now $12 billion to $17 billion with over 90% of that amount directed at regulated utility growth, that improves the reliability and efficiency of our operation and supports New Jersey's energy policy goals.

Over the coming five years PSE&G plans to invest approximately $11 billion to $16 billion on programs, which are expected to provide annual rate base growth of 7% to 9% starting from the higher 2018 year-end base of $19 billion. Our CCGT program is largely complete with just a commercial operation of the 485 megawatt Bridgeport Harbor unit remaining. PSEG's continuing long-term strategy to transition our business to a mostly regulated Company with predictable cash flows is on track. Our regulated utility PSE&G is projected to represent nearly 75% of our consolidated non-GAAP operating earnings this year.

PSE&G Power, our high quality generation business will see it's free cash flow improve and will continue to support our investment programs and dividend growth. So, as for 2019 guidance, the conclusion of our distribution base rate case and incremental investments in Transmission and Distribution infrastructure, combined with the relentless approach to minimizing O&M growth have offset the expected declines in energy and capacity prices in 2019.

PSEG's business mix is expected to produce growth in 2019, consolidated non-GAAP operating earnings. So for this year, we are forecasting consolidated non-GAAP operating earnings of $3.15 to $3.35 per share, which, at the mid-point represents over 4% growth in earnings over 2018 results. This increase was led by a higher contribution from regulated earnings at the utility moderated by the expected decline in Power's results that reflect market prices for energy and capacity and also includes the benefit from a partial year of Zero Emission Certificates for all three of our New Jersey nuclear plants.

The Board of Director's recent decision to increase the Company's common dividend by $0.08 per share to the indicative annual level of $1.88 per share is the 15th increase in the last 16 years, and reflects our financial strength, business mix and confidence in our outlook. Let me also acknowledge and thank all of our employees in both New Jersey and on Long Island for the outstanding contributions made over the past year in utility operations and construction, in nuclear and fossil operations and all the support organizations that enabled us to execute on a full regulatory and policy agenda in '18. I should not admit obviously, our employees in Connecticut and Upstate New York as well.

As we enter our 116th year, PSEG remains committed to our strategy to build long-term value for our shareholders as we meet the evolving needs of our customers and the diverse communities we serve. I'll now turn the call over to Dan for more details on our operating results and will be available to answer your questions after his remarks.

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Great. Thank you, Ralph and good morning, everyone. As Ralph said, we reported non-GAAP operating earnings for the fourth quarter of 2018 of $0.56 per share and that's versus $0.57 per share for the fourth quarter of 2017. Our earnings in the quarter, brought non-GAAP operating earnings for the full year to $3.12 per share, a 6.5% increase over 2017's non-GAAP operating earnings of $2.93 per share.

And on slide 5, we've provided you with a reconciliation of non-GAAP operating earnings to net income for the quarter. We've also provided you with information on slide 11 regarding the contribution to non-GAAP operating earnings by business for the quarter and slides 12 and 14 contained waterfall charts that take you through the quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year net changes in non-GAAP operating earnings by major business. And I will now review each company in more detail starting with PSE&G.

PSE&G reported net income for the fourth quarter of 2018 of $0.47 per share compared with $0.43 per share for the fourth quarter of 2017. PSE&G's full year 2018 net income was $1,067 million or $2.10 per share compared with net income of $973 million or $1.92 per share in 2017, which included $0.02 per share of benefits from tax reform. Non-GAAP operating earnings for the full year 2018 represented a 10.5% increase over 2017's results. As shown on slide 16, PSE&G's net income in the fourth quarter increased as a result of expanded investment in Transmission and Distribution infrastructure and rate relief put into effect on November 1st, which more than offset an increase in distribution O&M.

Growth in PSE&G's investment in transmission improved quarter-over-quarter net Income comparisons by $0.04 per share. Gas margin improved by $0.06 per share as a result of rate relief and recovery of investment in gas distribution made under the Gas System Modernization Program. Electric margin improved by $0.02 per share reflecting rate relief, as well as higher volumes and demand. Changes to the accounting treatment of the non-service component of pension and other post retirement benefit or OPEB resulted in a favorable $0.02 per share comparison over 2017's fourth quarter. These positives were partially offset by a $0.05 of higher O&M expense in the quarter associated with increased tree trimming and higher corrective maintenance.

And in addition, depreciation expense increased by $0.02 per share, reflecting the higher plant balances. Taxes and other were $0.01 per share higher compared to 2017's fourth quarter. For the full year, weather-normalized residential electric sales were six-tenth of 1% higher and weather-normalized residential gas sales rose by 3.3%.

PSE&G's October 2018 distribution base rate settlement, provides a balanced and constructive framework for regulatory stability over the next several years. PSE&G anticipates its next distribution base rate review by the end of 2023 and that's based on terms reached in the GSMP II settlement last May. The rate settlement recognized the inclusion of capital spending that was not recovered via clauses, deferred storm costs and an equity percentage of 54% offset by a lower return on equity of 9.6%. PSE&G also updated a transmission formula rate filing for 2019 to pass through additional tax benefits related to accumulated deferred income taxes.

This latest update reduce the annual revenue requirement by approximately $155 million from the original filing amount, which called for revenue increase of $100 million. PSE&G's investment of $3 billion in its Transmission and Distribution infrastructure in 2018, helped to drive a 13% growth in rate base to approximately $19 billion at year-end. Of this amount, PSE&G's investment in transmission represents 45% or about $8.7 billion of the Company's consolidated rate base at the end of 2018. For 2019, we forecast PSE&G's net income at $1,200 million to $1,230 million, reflecting incremental investments in Transmission and Distribution and a full year of rate relief.

Now let's turn to Power. As shown on page, slide 24, PSEG Power reported a non-GAAP operating earnings of $0.11 per share, compared with non-GAAP operating earnings of $0.20 per share a year ago. The results for the quarter brought Power's full year non-GAAP operating earnings to $502 million or $0.99 per share, compared to 2017's non-GAAP operating earnings of $505 million or $1 per share.

Power's non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA for the quarter and for the year amounted to $176 million and $1,059 million respectively. This compares with non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter of '17 of $196 million and for the full year 2017 of $1,172 million. The earnings release, as well as the earnings slides on pages 12 and 14 provide you with a detailed analysis of Power's operating earnings quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, from changes in revenue and cost.

Power's results for the quarter were down from the year-ago period, largely reflecting a $6 per megawatt hour decline in the average-price received on energy hedges, as recontracting led to a $0.09 reduction in net income compared to last year's fourth quarter. This was partially offset by a scheduled increase in capacity prices in New England and PJM, which improved comparisons by $0.04 per share. An increase in generation output for the quarter improved comparisons by $0.03 per share. Gas operations declined by $0.02 per share, as higher natural gas prices lowered commodity margin and impacted off-system sales following the start-up of the Atlantic Sunrise gas pipeline and has enabled price convergence of Leidy gas with higher prices at Henry Hub, as expected.

In addition to decline in Power's O&M expense improved net Income comparisons by a $0.01 per share and interest expense of $0.03 per share and depreciation expense of $0.02 per share, both rose as a result of two new combined cycle units in service at mid-year. And higher taxes reduced net income comparisons by a $0.01 over the prior year's fourth quarter as the absence of investment tax credits and other items offset the benefit of tax reforms.

Gross margins in the fourth quarter declined to $31 per megawatt hour from $38 per megawatt hour in the year-ago quarter, largely the result of a step down in power prices from recontracting. Power prices in the quarter improved slightly as gas prices rose in response to a long cold snap, that lasted through most of November to mid December. For the year, gross margins declined to $33 per megawatt hour, from $38 per megawatt hour, reflecting the decline in average hedge prices for energy.

Now let's turn to Power's operations and we provided you with some detail on generation for the quarter and for the year on slides 25 and 26. Output from Power's generating facilities in the fourth quarter increased by 19% over the fourth quarter of 2017, and that's mainly from new capacity additions at Sewaren and Keys, but also from higher output at our other New Jersey combined cycle units. Quarterly comparisons were also influenced by increased demand in response to the extended period of cold weather for most of the quarter.

Our output of 56 terawatt hours was at the high end of our forecast provided at the end of the third quarter, which called for full year output of 54 terawatt hours to 56 terawatt hours. The nuclear fleet operated at an average capacity factor of 86.9% in the quarter, resulting in a full year capacity factor of 91.4%, which included as Ralph mentioned Hope Creek's first uninterrupted breaker to breaker run going into last spring's refueling.

For the year, nuclear production totaled 31.2 terawatt hours. Power's gas-fired combined cycle fleet operated at an average capacity factor of approximately 51% in the quarter, resulting in a full year capacity factor of 52%, producing 18.5 terawatt hours of electricity for the year, up approximately 36% year-over-year. For the quarter, output from the coal fleet was up 10%, primarily from the Pennsylvania units, which was in response to higher weather-related demand. For the full year, output from the coal fleet increased 7% to 5.7 terawatt hours, as an increase in gas prices improved coal's competitiveness. An update of Power's hedge position is provided on slide 29.

For 2019, with a full year of the Keys and Sewaren combined cycle units. And an expected half year production from Bridgeport Harbor 5, Power's forecasting an increase in output to 60 terawatt hours to 62 terawatt hours, as of 2 terawatt hours since third quarter 2018 update. Following completion of the recent Basic Generation Service or BGS auction in New Jersey, approximately 80% to 85% of production for 2019 is hedged at an average price of $37 per megawatt hour.

As a reminder, our average hedge prices tend to skew higher after we layer in hedges from the BGS auction. For 2020, Power has hedged 55% to 60% of forecast production, of 60 terawatt hours to 62 terawatt hours, at an average price of $38 per megawatt hour. And Power is also forecasting output for 2021 of 60 terawatt hours to 62 terawatt hours. Approximately 15% to 20% of Power's output in 2021 is hedged at an average price of $42 per megawatt hour.

The forecast for the 2019 to 2021, period includes generation associated with the full-year contribution of 1,300 megawatts of gas-fired combined cycle capacity at Keys and Sewaren. The mid-2019 commercial operation of the 485 megawatt gas-fired combined cycle plant in Bridgeport and the mid-2021 retirement of the 383 megawatt Bridgeport Harbor coal-fired generating station.

Consistent with our hedging practice, the gas-fired combined cycle assets remain more open to the market in the out years and can take advantage of spark spread opportunities within our ratable hedging program. Power's 2019 non-GAAP earnings and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA forecast is projected to be $395 million to $460 million and $1,030 million to $1,130 million respectively.

The operating earnings guidance for 2019, reflects the benefits of including a partial year of ZEC's and the incremental contributions from three new CCGT units, offset by lower pricing on recontracting, lower capacity revenues, higher interest expense due to the absence of capitalized interest on construction and higher taxes due to the absence of the nuclear carryback benefit we received in 2018. Now moving on to PSEG Enterprise and other. We reported a net loss for the fourth quarter of 2018 of $5 million or a $0.01 per share compared to net income of $126 million or $0.25 per share for the fourth quarter of 2017. For the full-year, PSEG Enterprise and Other reported net income of $6 million or a $0.01 per share compared to net income in 2017 of $122 million or $0.24 per share. The results for 2018 reflect the absence of the one-time non-cash earnings benefit of $147 million related to tax reform, and a decrease in Energy Holdings' deferred tax liabilities, partially offset by an after-tax charge related to REMA in 2017.

Enterprise and Other reported a non-GAAP operating earnings loss for the fourth quarter of $12 million or $0.02 per share compared to non-GAAP operating loss of $21 million or $0.04 per share in the year-ago quarter. The results for the fourth quarter brought PSEG Enterprise and Other non-GAAP operating earnings for the full-year to $13 million or $0.03 per share versus $20 million, which also equated to $0.03 per share in 2017. The decline in the fourth quarter non-GAAP operating earnings loss versus the fourth quarter 2017 primarily reflects the absence of certain tax charges and holdings taken in the fourth quarter, 2017, lower overall tax expense in 2018 as a result of tax reform and higher interest expense mostly from -- mostly offset by some lower donations in 2018.

The 2019 non-GAAP operating earnings for PSEG Enterprise and Other are forecast to be $5 million to $10 million. This guidance reflects the continued PSEG Long Island results largely offset by some higher interest expense. PSEG's business mix continues to make us a beneficiary under the Tax Act of 2017 and our financial flexibility remains strong. Our net income for Power and for enterprise will realize an ongoing benefit from the decline in federal tax rate overall. However, recently updated rules proposed by the IRS could limit the amount of interest that can be deducted in a given year by non-regulated businesses.

If, as proposed, depreciation is excluded from the definition of adjusted taxable income in 2018 and 2019, the bonus depreciation related to the new CCGT units in service during '18 and '19 will cap the amount of deductible interest in both years. However, any amount of interest expense disallowed can be forward -- can be carried forward indefinitely. And therefore, we do not expect us to have an earnings impact for us in either year. PSEG ended 2018 with $177 million of cash on hand and debt, representing 52% of our consolidated capital position. Powers that was 32% of its total capital base and its year-end debt position was just over 2.6 times 2018 non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA. Given the strength of our balance sheet and internally generated cash flow from both businesses, we are able to fund our capital program and manage the cash impacts of tax reform without the need for additional equity.

To recap, we're guiding to non-GAAP operating earnings for 2019 of $3.15 to $3.35 per share, a 4% increase over 2018, with nearly 75% of that amount being generated by PSE&G, our regulated utility. And the common dividend recently was increased $0.08 to the indicative level of $1.88 per share. This level represents a 58% payout of earnings at the midpoint of our 2019 guidance and has contributed to a 4.9% annual rate of growth in the dividend over the last five years.

And Julie, we are now ready for questions.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Certainly. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session for members of the financial community. (Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from the line of Julien Dumoulin-Smith from Bank of America. Please go ahead with your question.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Hey, good morning, everyone.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Julien.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Hi, so perhaps let's just start out with some of the conversations we left off on third quarter. Can you perhaps revisit just in brief, a little bit more on the Leidy hub conversation with respect to 2019 expectations and obviously, given substantial amount of gyrations in gas basis in the quarter here. I know you review to a certain extent your power guidance already, which but just, how does that -- what is reflected with respect to basis. And have you seen that even evolve in the last few months since the last update in November. I just want to make sure we put this one to rest as one of the lingering concerns out there from third quarter.

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure, Julien. I don't think we've seen a tremendous amount of change since the third quarter. I think we talked about some takeaway capacity coming from the Marcellus and having a little bit of a tightening between some of the basis and that could have some compression on spark spreads. We also talked a little bit about some of the electric basis. And I think both of those things, we will remain somewhat open to and are reflected in the guidance that we have provided. I think even as you look through the fourth quarter, we saw a fairly consistent story with what we told in the third quarter. We did see some uptick during that quarter related to some incremental volume at Power, largely weather-related and also some O&M benefits. But I think what we talked about and expected in the third quarter, we've seen through the fourth quarter will continue to rely upon what forward prices show us as we go through '19 and beyond.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Got it. Excellent. And then turning to the other side of the house on the utility for the '19 guidance, can you talk through a little bit about the earnings components there, and obviously you provide projected rate base, but expected returns and equity ratio perhaps, just in brief, really the return piece, implied guidance and are you expecting there are newer authorized, is basically longer-weighted asset?

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Julien it's Ralph. We are just two months out of a base rate case. So we expect to earn 9.6% on the distribution rate base and the 11.68% on the transmission rate base. That's a 54% equity level. Yeah, I mean, the data was pretty current and the settlement is pretty current. So this -- we should hit those numbers. We should be able to hit those numbers.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Excellent. And just a quick last one, just in terms of the offshore effort. You know, there's been a lot of focus on this, by your peers, but just with respect to the returns and risk profile of what you're contemplated, you invest in, how especially with respect to the risk, would it be different from just a straight equity investment in the project all together and obviously this is preliminary?

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So again, what we've been very clear about is that we know -- what we know, we fortunately do know, we don't know. And we know transmission, how to build that as a low cost and a reliable way and we understand the PJM markets, but we've never built anything offshore and we're not eager to take any significant risk on offshore construction. So, that's -- we are delighted to be part of the Orsted team in terms of them being a leading developer of offshore winds around the world. But there are certain strengths that we bring to the table that I think everybody on this call is aware of and those areas where we are not strong, we're not going to take a big chance on.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Excellent. I'll leave it there. Thank you very much.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Julien.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jonathan Arnold from Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question.

Jonathan Arnold -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Yeah. Good morning, guys.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Hi, Jon.

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Good morning, Jon.

Jonathan Arnold -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Can I just ask, if we look at the new rate base and CapEx outlook as it often has a little bit of stayed in the later years, do you have a sense Ralph of what the likelihood is filling some of that in? And what kind of things and what the timing for some of that materializing might be? Or is it too early to be having that conversation?

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Thanks, Jonathan. So what I tried to spoke is that we have two major programs from the BPU right now, Energy Strong II and Clean Energy Future. I think, in aggregate over $6 billion and we think, every penny of that would be money well spent on behalf of customers. It's not a surprise to you that typically when we work with the professionals at the BPU, we don't usually get complete agreement on every dollar being well we're spending. So, but I know that Zero is not the right answer as well. So those two programs will have the potential to fill in some of the later years.

Jonathan Arnold -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Okay. And then just to your answer on the question on offshore and knowing what you know. Is it safe to assume that whatever you did that would largely be within the utility footprint or (multiple speakers) sorry, go ahead.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, that would not be the case, Jon. It would be on our unregulated side of the business that we would do that work. To the extent that there is any transmission implications that are in the utilities service territory, then that would be undertaken by PSE&G, but any connection on land or any improvements that needs to be made as the connection point would not be in PSE&G territory. So, that would be a project responsibility that we could participate in. And by the way, Jon, I think I failed to your timing question. We do expect to have some resolution on these two filings in the third quarter, this year.

Jonathan Arnold -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

And to that -- that would be incremental to enter the plan, what you're talking about, or I thought that was.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So, what we've said is that, based on currently approved programs, we will achieve that 7% compound annual growth. Right. And based upon the way in which we propose the spend for the new programs, if they were fully funded, we would achieve the 9%, but remember those -- both those programs take us outside the time frame of the 7% to 9% that we're proposing. So, both the rate at which the money is spent and the amount of money will probably land you somewhere in between those two numbers.

And just as we think about it in as a way of thinking about the update, we were at 7% to 9%, but really that's all about the increased basis we're jumping off end of '18 instead of the end of '19, so end of '17, I should say. So, the kind of the embedded capital you can think about as being consistent and the update is more about updating off of one year increased rate base.

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Right.

Jonathan Arnold -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

We got the math, because these are the same place. Right.

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Right.

Jonathan Arnold -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Okay. Can I just -- on other thing, just on the guidance for holdings, it seems to be quite a lower number than you've been talking about and, yeah, and you talked about life minus interest offset, but is there something else going on in that, sort of structurally shifting holdings little lower, will that continue?

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

No, Jonathan. Really, all it is -- is that the interest expense and holdings if you think about shorter term rates coming up a little bit, you're seeing some of that effect come through at the parent level. So, some of the debt at the parent being shorter term has seen a little bit of an increase in rates all, nothing structural.

Jonathan Arnold -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Okay. So, we should probably, just see -- that continues along.

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

We've given you the guidance for '19 and we'll kind of go from now.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

I have to plug our folks down on Long Island, they're doing a great job. So there's no dilution out there.

Jonathan Arnold -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Thank you, guys.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Paul Patterson from Glenrock Associates. Please go ahead with your question.

Paul Patterson -- Glenrock Associates -- Analyst

Hey, good morning.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Paul.

Paul Patterson -- Glenrock Associates -- Analyst

So looking to your comments on the capacity market, and I guess sort of concerned about if the nuclear plants are excluded from the market or it is not, so the adoption of something similar to the PJM proposal that you would still potentially have to look at closing the plants? Would there be no -- what would the thought be in terms of perhaps doing a PPA or what alternatives might that be, if in fact, there isn't an effort to do a -- if in fact you were excluded from the market if you fall. If you go back and...

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

It really depends on the nature of the proposal from FERC, right. I mean, what we rely upon is the fact that New Jersey demonstrated a commitment to nuclear power, and passes a legislation. So it's hard to imagine, although we'd have to work out the details of that. The FERC action, which is intended to allow states to continue to choose certain resources to achieve environmental or other objectives, that mechanism would in some way pre-empt New Jersey's ability to pursue some options to keep the plants online. I mean so -- so I think, we got the states saying, we want these plants online as witnessed by the legislation. FERC saying, we don't want to interfere with states ability to do that. And now, of course, somewhere between those two broad policy statements, we'll just have to wait to see what the order from FERC looks like to figure out the mechanics of how we achieve both of those objectives. But I -- but I've got to believe that those objectives are sincere and we've demonstrated an ability in the past to meet policy objectives, when they're articulated as clearly as those two are.

Paul Patterson -- Glenrock Associates -- Analyst

But, clearly the BPU or the state of New Jersey, I guess more generically could just simply arrange a situation where the carve-out load would simply provide a capacity payment in lieu of the fact that sort of mimicking what the PJM capacity market would have provided, if you were part of the (inaudible) I'm saying.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

That's absolutely true. Right. I just -- I wouldn't want to be so presumptuous, as to say, what the BPU will do. I accept to say that, the policy objectives of the state are very clear and the BPU has a lot of professional expertise that will want to weigh in on what they think the right and creative solutions to meet that policy objectives. And we'll certainly work as hard as we can to make sure the states achieve this goal.

Paul Patterson -- Glenrock Associates -- Analyst

Okay. Great. And then on the energy efficiency and the legislation and your move toward -- toward meeting those goals, what should we think about in terms of the retail sales growth in New Jersey going forward from here. Is that negative 2%, what we should be thinking about? Or how should we be thinking about that?

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

No. So, I think that 2% decline was off of a -- I forget what year was. So I think we saw about 0.6% increase this year, so there's going to be some netting, right I don't think it should be 2% plus the incremental increase. But remember, Paul. I know you know this but, forgive me for repeating it. The utility growth is not about load growth. Our utility growth is about an aging infrastructure that is in desperate need of replacement. And then on top of that new technology that's needed to achieve some of the policy objectives in particular the climate objectives of the state. So I'm not going to say that we're completely indifferent to what the load does, but that's really not at the heart and soul, nor the foundation of what the utilities, operations or investment or financial performance will look like in the future.

Paul Patterson -- Glenrock Associates -- Analyst

Sure, sure. I was just trying to get to the better market picture. Just and then I think you might have said that, that would offset sort of bill increases as well. Will that offset from the cost to achieve through the energy efficiency? Or is that just sort of how should we think about customer bills? I know you guys are concerned about that, and looking out on that end. How should we think about that in terms of your forecast?

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So the -- so, first of all of the rate case result of basically no net change in customer bills because of the way in which we will flow back to customers, tax benefits and we still are about 30% below for an average residential customer bill where we were in 2008, but the EE program is specifically proposed to regulators. And they have a lot to say about, why don't they agree with our proposal. So, even those customers for whom this, good cost control is too burdensome, right. So we've targeted low income customers, critical assets like hospitals that serve the public at large municipal facilities, government facilities, schools, things of that nature so. So we fundamentally do believe that the bill is what matters, not the rate and that there are some customers even in this reduced bill environment that we've been operating under, for the past decade, that struggle. And so we've taken another shot at, saying to the BPU who we think, we can help. And I'm sure that we'll have a great conversation with the staff over the next few months if whether they agree with that or they'd like to see it directed differently.

Paul Patterson -- Glenrock Associates -- Analyst

Okay. Great. Thanks so much.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Greg Gordon from Evercore ISI. Please proceed with your question.

Greg Gordon -- Evercore ISI -- Analyst

Thanks, good morning.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Greg.

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Good morning, Greg.

Greg Gordon -- Evercore ISI -- Analyst

Circling back to Julien's question, just would appear on basic rate base math just looking at the slides and taking that Income and dividing it into rate base. The ROE would appear to be a bit higher than the authorized return, but I presume that we're missing things like earnings on AFUDC and other adjustments that you have to make to walk back down to a regulatory ROE. Is that a fair summary? Because if you just do the arithmetic, it seems high?

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Not seen your exact math, but I think that's right. There's a regulatory ROE that ultimately just came out of the rate case that we had, and we're moving into that now, so I think it's a pretty clean number right now. And then as we go through time we'll continue to move forward.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

So, Greg. Every time, we have this call, we always sort of come out of here, it was like, OK, that makes sense. We understood. That's the second question on earning ROEs, that is two questions, too many I just don't know, where it's coming from. I mean, if you're looking at this room right now you see nothing, but some really confusing quizzical faces.

So, we are fighting every day to control O&M to make sure we earn that a lot of ROE. So, but I don't know where that's coming from, but no, we just came out of a rate case, and we are at our allowed earnings and somehow let's figure out how to increase salaries 3% this year, with demand growing by 0.6% store and still earn that allowed ROEs. So that...

Greg Gordon -- Evercore ISI -- Analyst

Completely understand. I'll talk to Carlotta, figure it out. My second question...

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

(multiple speakers) could be, if you look at the rate base, you got a transmission component, right. You got an ASB and appliance service business, which is a piece of it. You got some different treatment for some of the clauses for some of the RGGI clauses. So that may be coming into play and I think we can work through the math and bring it back to an understanding as to where we are, we're just trying to do that in our own way.

Greg Gordon -- Evercore ISI -- Analyst

Yeah, that's -- I'm sure that's going to be easy to do. The second question was on the Power side. Would it be, the increase in fuel costs, that sort of compress the spark spread in Q4? Has there been some sort of a structural change in basis on delivered gas to your plants that we need to sort of extrapolate forward or was that just a demand driven sort of surge in pricing, that it will just, that was more weather and demand volatility.

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

I would answer that, Greg, I'd say, it's a little bit of both. I think what we saw in the third quarter when we talked about some of the weather related aspects. If you look at where things were most of November and the first, and the first half or so, of December, we also had some pretty cold weather and back-ended December you start to run into holiday. So, I think if you look at aggregate monthly or quarterly data, it may blur a little bit about the fact that when you had more of your core demand going on. You had higher weather during that period. And so that's going to pull a little bit more on that price comparison that you see, and addition to some of the takeaway capacity. So I think some of it is structural that we saw within the -- that kind of the back half of 2018 and some of that is going to be more weather and demand oriented as well.

Greg Gordon -- Evercore ISI -- Analyst

Okay, final question. Ralph, if FERC comes back and rules that the unit-specific FRR option is in fact part of the portfolio of options that PJM needs to use going forward to run its market. Would you go to the New Jersey government and say, you'd like to pursue the full FRR option to remove your units from PJM or would you consider other avenues?

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

I think it's safe to say we would consider a bunch of different avenues, at that point. I would not -- I would not at all want to -- you to think that we would exclude that possibility, but we could still bid, who knows, we would take a look at that and we would consider other options as well.

Greg Gordon -- Evercore ISI -- Analyst

Okay. So you -- you wouldn't preclude pursuing the FRR option, but you'd look at the whole extension, before you'd make the call.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

That's correct.

Greg Gordon -- Evercore ISI -- Analyst

Okay. Thank you, Ralph. Take care.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. Take care.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Steve Fleishman from Wolfe Research. Please proceed with your question.

Steve Fleishman -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

Thanks. Good morning. First, just a quick -- quick question on FERC, do you have any updated sense on timing of when they might make a decision, like as, yeah...

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

No, Steve. I mean our visits to FERC really has suggested, they are struggling with the capacity market decision. I had the sense that fast start might happen sooner, but September 30th, I thought was 2018, and coming across as smart aleck, I shouldn't do that. So I have -- I've kind of stopped predicting the timing FERC as well.

Steve Fleishman -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

Okay. And then I guess, Ralph, a high level strategic question. So, if you look at New Jersey's is obviously moving to kind of a trend toward lot of clean energy, energy efficiency, offshore wind, et cetera. And then if you look at New England states, a lot of them are also doing the same thing. So what, how does that kind of, are you thinking strategically more about the Power business in context to that? What does that mean?

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Absolutely. So, the question is, what's the environmental footprint of the fleet and how does that fit in that. And then quite honestly, given the market structures, that dispatch on a short run marginal cost basis and an increased willingness on the part of policy makers to fund the capital needs of assets that then bid into that market at zero, you have to pay very serious attention to what that means to the dispatch queue and the profitability plans in the future.

So we've taken some actions. As you know, Steve, we've shut our HEDD units, we shut Hudson and Mercer, we're going to be shutting our Bridgeport coal facility. We've got some pretty impressive heat rates on our gas plants and we are looking at some role in offshore wind. But there's no doubt, that one has to look at the Power business in the context of an increasingly Clean Energy Future.

Steve Fleishman -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Lapides from GS. Please go ahead, your line is open.

Michael Lapides -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Hey, guys. Just Dan, real quick question on 2019 earnings expectations at the utility at E&G, the growth rate, if I just take actual in '18 versus 2019 is a pretty significant growth rate, even it appears higher than your rate base growth. Can you just kind of walk me through the puts and takes? Is there something unusual with tax? Is there and can you mention what tax rate that assumes? Or is there something unusual that happened in '18 outside of the $0.04 or $0.05 from tree trimming, we ever think about.

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

No, I think, maybe just, if you put it in two big buckets. You've got your rate base growth, that's going to be a part of it, but you also have a rate relief component that's going on the distribution side. So if you think about a relatively flat overall, the rate case settlement, you've got an increment to year to your base rates that's come through and then you've got that being offset by some -- tax flow backs and that the tax piece is more balance sheet oriented taken deferred taxes and flowing it back through cash and the base rates are more of that survives. So, I think you're going to get a little bit of a benefit coming through there, in addition to what you're seeing from an investment and an overall rate base perspective. So, I look at those two components has been some of what's driving the delta as you look year-over-year.

Michael Lapides -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Got it. And, Ralph, just curious I want to come back on the offshore wind piece, if you take an equity stake in the project, how do you shield yourself from long-term construction risk? I mean the -- we know the Europeans have built a lot of offshore wind, there's been one or -- a small project built here. But there is not the same infrastructure and supply chain and some of the other kind of items that are necessary to build out lots of the first of a kind large-scale offshore wind here. How do you kind of protect yourself from material construction risk as you've never really been a company that's like to take that kind of risk.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I mean -- we don't -- with respect, Michael, we're not in a position of -- kind of have a negotiation -- we force that through you, but I mean at the end of the day, if you can't shield yourself, then the ultimate shield which you don't invest. Right. So, -- we have some incredibly talented engineers and we have some equally talented contracts people and lawyers that, if they can figure it out, then the ultimate protection as we don't participate with them.

Michael Lapides -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Got it. Thank you, Ralph. Much appreciated.

Operator

Mr. Izzo, Mr. Cregg, there are no further questions at this time. Please continue with your closing remarks.

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Great. Thank you, Julie. So, thanks everyone for joining us today and thank you for your continued interest and presumably confidence in us. We will be on the road next few days and next few weeks we look forward to seeing you in some of our upcoming meetings and conference appearances. And in the meantime, at the risk of stating the obvious, rest assured, we're going to continue to work hard and smart every day and we're going to meet the needs of customers in a safe, reliable, economic and environmental protective way. And we think -- if we do that, which we've been pretty good at, then our shareholders will realize a fair return and a lot of return. Sorry, Cregg, on the infrastructure investments we've been making, that allows us to achieve the best in class service level. So, thanks, everyone. And we'll talk real soon. Take care.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude your conference call for today. You may now disconnect and thank you for participating.

Duration: 61 minutes

Call participants:

Carlotta Chan -- Senior Director of Investor Relations

Ralph Izzo -- Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Daniel J. Cregg -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Julien Dumoulin-Smith -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Jonathan Arnold -- Deutsche Bank -- Analyst

Paul Patterson -- Glenrock Associates -- Analyst

Greg Gordon -- Evercore ISI -- Analyst

Steve Fleishman -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

Michael Lapides -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

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